Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.975616 4.273239 4.591539 4.958854 5.373029 5.827937 6.368613
2025-04-27 3.553178 3.981674 4.470958 5.077829 5.820183 6.712185 7.886640
2025-05-04 3.291812 3.794092 4.394111 5.177935 6.197352 7.512714 9.400914
2025-05-11 3.053486 3.591627 4.256094 5.158752 6.390326 8.074376 10.677960
2025-05-18 2.848613 3.404118 4.108130 5.095185 6.496485 8.510450 11.838527
2025-05-25 2.650805 3.206141 3.924163 4.956030 6.468249 8.732564 12.693929
2025-06-01 2.498895 3.055184 3.787534 4.864059 6.489229 9.020034 13.705372
2025-06-08 2.401787 2.969061 3.729894 4.875070 6.659458 9.560099 15.286903
2025-06-15 2.334874 2.918221 3.715327 4.944343 6.923324 10.291085 17.433867
2025-06-22 2.203326 2.770385 3.553214 4.776493 6.783154 10.289645 18.052747
2025-06-29 2.099942 2.656527 3.432960 4.663071 6.720290 10.417232 18.993058
2025-07-06 2.016216 2.566141 3.341339 4.586689 6.710905 10.641055 20.225482
2025-07-13 1.942083 2.488971 3.269174 4.542898 6.766382 11.026005 22.077643
2025-07-20 1.909980 2.471100 3.284887 4.643506 7.094139 12.032511 26.113780
2025-07-27 1.876697 2.449338 3.292621 4.730475 7.406906 13.077422 30.934308
2025-08-03 1.821608 2.392382 3.242231 4.713739 7.517499 13.689057 34.742739
2025-08-10 1.761887 2.325744 3.172870 4.658329 7.544243 14.106544 38.149387
2025-08-17 1.691757 2.240625 3.070112 4.536864 7.423701 14.134716 39.992252
2025-08-24 1.634881 2.173552 2.993152 4.456455 7.380305 14.356660 42.939934
2025-08-31 1.600378 2.139276 2.967205 4.466087 7.527767 15.121807 49.372813
2025-09-07 1.578150 2.122871 2.969216 4.526652 7.792505 16.286007 59.724562
2025-09-14 1.516606 2.043240 2.863759 4.379800 7.579830 16.003427 60.561870
2025-09-21 1.467280 1.981316 2.785511 4.280367 7.466861 16.009290 63.619354